Kirt Shaffer said he expected to see some movement in the commercial real estate market after the November general election. However, the commercial Realtor knew a number of clients he worked with had planned to hold off on any developments for at least a year or two given interest rates, inflation and other factors.
Now, though, many of those same clients are wanting to start those paused projects as soon as they can in 2025.
“It’s almost like a light switch went off in the last couple weeks,” said Shaffer of Pasco’s Tippett Company.
It’s another sign that the economic development that’s been synonymous with the Tri-Cities in recent years is primed to continue, experts and officials say.
Energy-related ventures continue to set up shop in the region while long-established industries such as agriculture continue to hold their own. Meanwhile, light industrial spaces are being leased out to companies from around the state wanting in on Tri-Cities' growing market or expanding to meet demand.
“We’re still very bullish on next year,” said Karl Dye, president and CEO of Tri-City Development Council (TRIDEC).
The energy sector saw big developments in the final months of 2024.
Research and development in energy also is ramping up.
“It feels like we’re going to continue to be the place for clean energy projects,” Dye said.
And all those energy projects are going to be needed, Dye said.
Power availability is a growing concern in the Mid-Columbia, especially as more projects with significant energy requirements look to locate in the region. Those include Atlas Agro’s proposed Pacific Green Fertilizer plant in Richland and data centers such as the $5 billion facility proposed by a multinational technology company that’s signed a letter of intent with the Port of Walla Walla for property in Wallula.
“Everything we read about AI coming online, the amount of storage and power that will be needed is incredible,” Dye said.
The need for space is also making the commercial real estate market hot, Shaffer said. Construction or construction-adjacent companies want to open locations in the Tri-Cities after seeing so much of their clientele come from the area. Others may already be here but need to expand to meet demand.
While acknowledging that interest rates are a consideration, the need for light industrial space makes it worth the investment.
“A lot of the landlords I deal with have enough cash on hand that financing is minimal,” he said. “And the rent rates for these types of products are breaking all kinds of highs.”
There are parts of the local economy that are struggling or ways the Tri-Cities can better position itself to keep growing, experts said. Retail spaces have seen declining demand, Shaffer said, and he expects leases for office space to shrink as more employers reassess the need for it as more people work remotely.
Dye said continuing to create community amenities that improve quality of life is important to keep attracting employers. Having diverse entertainment, retail and recreation options is what will draw the talented workers those employers need.
Nevertheless, Shaffer said there’s a lot of optimism in the business community following the November election.
Dye said President Donald Trump’s first term in office did not significantly affect the federal funding that flows into the Hanford site and PNNL so they can remain as bases for economic activity.
“We’re excited for the new year,” he said.